medium · Act science
Model A: Tropical storms are intensifying because of increased sea surface temperatures. Model B: Tropical storms are intensifying because of changes in high-altitude wind shear. Over thirty years, researchers observe a 20% increase in storm intensity. During this same period, satellite data shows that sea surface temperatures have risen by 1.5^circC, while high-altitude wind shear has remained completely stable.
Which model is most likely correct based on this data?
- Model B, because stable wind shear allows storms to form more easily.
- Model A, because the increase in intensity correlates with the rise in temperature.
- Model A, because sea surface temperature is the only factor that affects intensity.
- Both models are correct because storms are complex and require multiple factors.
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