medium · Asset-Backed Securities collateral

An auto ABS originator has experienced consistent lifetime losses of 1.50%. However, the rating agency uses a 'base case' of 2.00%.

Which of the following is the most likely reason for this 'haircut'?

  1. The agency is required by rigid internal policy to apply a minimum 2.00% base case to every prime lender.
  2. The pool being securitized has a higher concentration of longer-term or lower-FICO loans than the historical average.
  3. The originator's historical loss data only spans a benign period of economic expansion and lacks a true recession scenario.
  4. The agency is penalizing the lender because this deal uses a sequential-pay waterfall instead of a pro-rata one.

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