medium · Asset-Backed Securities waterfalls

An investor is analyzing a $500 million pool of subprime Home Equity Loans (HEL).

The structure uses 'shifting interest' where the senior prepayment percentage is set to 100% for the first 36 months. If a cumulative loss trigger is breached at month 24, what is the most likely structural consequence for the subordinate bondholders?

  1. Principal allocation immediately flips to pro-rata to reduce interest expense.
  2. The subordinate bonds are immediately written down by the amount of the loss.
  3. The senior prepayment percentage drops to 70% to allow subordinate amortization.
  4. The step-down date is delayed and subordinates remain locked out of principal.

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