medium · Elliott Wave Theory ewt-core

A bond market has been in a sustained downtrend (yields rising). The analyst identifies a clear five-wave impulse decline in bond prices. At the same time, the S&P $500 has completed a converging wedge in what appears to be a fifth-wave position.

What is the most likely intermarket implication?

  1. The divergence suggests the equity wave count is mislabeled.
  2. Bond prices will keep crashing lower while equities merely consolidate.
  3. A major trend reversal is approaching for both equities and bonds.
  4. The equity market will instead enter a sharp new Wave 3 extension to the upside.

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