medium · FRM Part 1 Quantitative Analysis

If a correlation matrix is NOT positive semidefinite, what is the consequence for a Cholesky-based Monte Carlo simulation?

  1. The standard error of the resulting VaR estimate will mathematically become infinite under this condition.
  2. The simulation will still run to completion but will silently generate zero correlation between all asset pairs.
  3. The algorithm will fail because it would require taking the square root of a negative number.
  4. The resulting portfolio variance from the simulated paths will always converge to exactly one.

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