hard · FRM Part 1 Quantitative Analysis

X and Y are each standard normal with linear correlation ρ = 0. An analyst concludes they are independent and that the tail-dependence in a stress scenario is therefore zero.

Under which single additional assumption is the analyst's independence conclusion guaranteed correct, and why does ρ=0 alone fail?

  1. Correct only if (X,Y) is jointly (bivariate) normal; zero correlation alone permits dependence such as Y=X^2-type structure where ρ=0 yet X and Y are clearly dependent.
  2. Correct unconditionally: for standard normal margins, zero linear correlation always implies full statistical independence.
  3. Correct only if X and Y have finite fourth moments; zero correlation plus finite kurtosis is sufficient for independence.
  4. Correct only if Spearman's rank correlation is also zero; matching Pearson and Spearman correlations of zero implies independence for any margins.

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