medium · FRM Part 1 Valuation and Risk Models

A 99% VaR is calculated for a single stock using the delta-normal method.

If the stock's return distribution has a skewness of -1.5 and an excess kurtosis of 5.0, what is the most likely risk management concern regarding the VaR estimate?

  1. The model will require too much capital, reducing the firm's efficiency.
  2. The model will produce a zero VaR for high confidence levels.
  3. The model will systematically understate the frequency and magnitude of large losses.
  4. The diversification benefit will be over-recognized, leading to concentration risk.

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