medium · FRM Part 1 Valuation and Risk Models
When computing ES from a discrete probability distribution, if the cumulative probability doesn't land exactly on (1 - α), which method is commonly used to ensure the ES remains a coherent risk measure?
- Switch to a parametric normal approximation to avoid discrete probability jumps.
- Ignore the VaR threshold value and only average the outcomes that strictly exceed it.
- Always round up to the next observation to be conservative, even if it exceeds the (1 - α) probability threshold.
- Include a fractional portion of the VaR threshold loss to ensure the total probability in the calculation exactly equals (1 - α).
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