medium · Market Microstructure adverse-selection

An informed trader with a private value estimate V and a market price P only enters the market if |V - P| > c.

If information asymmetry increases such that the variance of V expands, how does the behavior of the value trader impact market liquidity?

  1. Liquidity increases because more value traders enter the market to capture the larger mispricing.
  2. The market becomes more resilient as value traders provide more depth at every price level.
  3. Spreads remain constant as the dealer can distinguish between value traders and noise traders.
  4. Liquidity decreases because the dealer's adverse selection risk rises, forcing wider spreads.

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