medium · Market Microstructure adverse-selection

A market maker in Gamma-X uses the PIN model to adjust spreads.

If the probability of an information event is α = 0.30, the arrival rate of informed traders is μ = 400 per day, and the arrival rates of uninformed buyers and sellers are ε_b = 600 and ε_s = 600, what is the estimated Probability of Informed Trading?

  1. 0.200
  2. 0.100
  3. 0.300
  4. 0.091

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