hard · Market Microstructure adverse-selection

A competitive market maker operating under the Glosten-Milgrom framework estimates that the probability of an arriving order being informed is α = 0.25. The fundamental value of the asset is either V_H =105orV_L = 95 with equal prior probability.

What is the break-even quoted bid-ask spread the dealer must set to cover adverse selection costs?

  1. $5.00
  2. $1.25
  3. $2.00
  4. $2.50

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