hard · Market Microstructure

A trader is evaluating a manager's performance over 10 years. The manager produced an average annual alpha of 1.5% with an annual tracking error (σ_α) of 6%.

At a 95% confidence level (t_crit = 1.64), how many years (n) would be statistically required to distinguish this skill from luck?

  1. 6.5 years
  2. 24 years
  3. 43 years
  4. 16 years

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