hard · Market Microstructure

An analyst performs a variance ratio test VR(k) on a stock's returns.

If the analyst finds that VR(5) = 0.75, what does this suggest about the stock's price dynamics?

  1. The stock exhibits price momentum and positive serial correlation in returns.
  2. The stock's prices follow a pure random walk with only fundamental volatility.
  3. The stock is highly illiquid with large, infrequent trades.
  4. The stock exhibits significant transitory volatility and mean-reverting tendencies.

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