medium · Market Microstructure

In a Glosten-Milgrom framework, if the prior probability of high value V_H is 0.5, and the probability of an informed trader a is 0.2, what is the probability that the value is V_H given that a buy order has arrived?

  1. 0.60
  2. 0.50
  3. 0.52
  4. 0.70

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