medium · Market Microstructure mmf-core

At 3:50 PM, the NYSE publishes a closing imbalance of 500,000 shares to buy with an indicative clearing price of $42.50, while the last trade was $42.00.

If a trader provides liquidity by selling into the auction at $42.48, what is the primary risk they are assuming?

  1. Adverse selection risk that the imbalance reflects permanent fundamental information.
  2. Execution risk that the seller's order goes unfilled at the auction close.
  3. Reg NMS risk that the trade is 'traded-through' by a faster dark pool.
  4. Inventory risk that the dealer cannot hedge the position using index futures contracts.

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