medium · Market Microstructure spread-econ

An analyst performs a variance ratio test VR(k) on a stock's returns.

If the analyst finds that VR(5) = 0.75, what does this suggest about the stock's price dynamics?

  1. The stock shows price momentum and positive serial correlation in returns.
  2. The stock's prices follow a pure random walk shaped only by fundamental volatility noise.
  3. The stock is highly illiquid, trading in large blocks that occur only infrequently per session.
  4. The stock exhibits significant transitory volatility and mean-reverting tendencies.

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