medium · Order Flow Analysis absorption-exhaustion-imbalance

A trader is monitoring a pullback in Crude Oil (CL) toward a previously identified 'Stacked Buying Imbalance' zone at $72.50 - 72.55. As price enters the zone, the current 10-minute bar has a Δ of -800. At $72.52, the Footprint shows 500 contracts traded on the Bid and 150 on the Ask.

How should this data be interpreted regarding a potential long entry?

  1. Invalidate the long setup because aggressive sellers are currently in control and hitting the Bid.
  2. Monitor for the Bid volume to drop and buying imbalances to emerge within the zone to confirm defense.
  3. Immediately sell the market as the -800 Δ indicates the trend has reversed.
  4. Place a limit buy at $72.50 regardless of the current bar because the original zone was institutional.

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