hard · Order Flow Analysis footprint-delta
A 10-minute Euro FX (6E) bar prints a new session high with bar Δ of +1,800, which looks bullish in isolation. However, total traded volume on that bar is 3× the session's average bar volume, and the bar's range is only half the average bar range.
How should the unusually high volume paired with the unusually narrow range change the read of the positive delta on this new high?
- It should not change the read at all, since positive delta on a new high is unconditionally bullish regardless of volume or range.
- It suggests heavy absorption: a large seller is soaking up aggressive buying, capping the range despite high positive delta.
- It confirms an even stronger breakout, since 3x volume simply means 3x as many buyers pushed price higher.
- It indicates thin, unreliable data, since high volume on a narrow range is not achievable in real futures markets.
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