hard · Order Flow Analysis footprint-delta

During an uptrend, three successive footprint bars print rising prices but a sequence of cumulative-delta values of +900, +350, +90 — each new price high accompanied by a smaller delta than the prior high. The bid/ask spread has not widened.

Which conclusion is most defensible?

  1. Diminishing buy-side aggression is required to lift price to each new high, a delta/price divergence warning that initiative buying is waning even as price holds
  2. Falling delta with rising price proves sellers are now the aggressors, so the trend has already reversed and shorts are favored immediately
  3. The smaller deltas mean liquidity thinned out, so each high is more reliable and the trend is accelerating
  4. Cumulative delta must rise with price in a healthy trend, so the data is corrupted and should be discarded

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