medium · Order Flow Analysis footprint-delta

A Director of Trading notes a 'Bearish COT' at the high of a bar. Specifically, the P_COT (Commitment of Traders/Bar POC) is at the high, but the bar closes 10 ticks lower.

Why is this bearish?

  1. The market is simply in an equilibrium state at the high.
  2. Aggressive sellers swept through the order book to reach the high.
  3. Aggressive buyers at the high were absorbed and are now trapped.
  4. Sellers were unable to find any resting liquidity to sell into near the high.

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