hard · Order Flow Analysis

A trader is short 5 ES contracts based on a valid stacked selling imbalance. Price drops 10 ticks into profit, but a new bar forms showing 180 bid / 620 ask at the low (a buying imbalance) with a delta of +1200.

According to the conflicting-signals protocol, what is the most professional action?

  1. Hold the full position until the original structural stop is hit.
  2. Double the short position to overpower the new buyers.
  3. Exit at least 50% of the position to lock in profit or exit the full position.
  4. Move the stop-loss to the current low of the bar.

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