hard · Order Flow Analysis
A 10-minute ES bar shows the Commitment of Traders (COT) at 4532.00, which is the high of the bar. The ask volume at this level was 850 and the bid volume was 30.
If the bar closed at 4528.50, what is the structural interpretation?
- Bearish; 850 aggressive buyers are trapped at the high as passive sellers absorbed the move.
- Neutral; the COT is within the upper 25% of the range, suggesting standard distribution.
- Bearish; the low bid volume at the COT tick indicates an unfinished auction.
- Bullish; the COT at the high indicates initiative buying dominance.
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