hard · Order Flow Analysis

In Corn futures (ZC), a 15-minute bar shows the Commitment of Traders (COT) at the very high of the range. The bar has a diagonal ratio of 4.5:1 Ask volume to Bid volume at that COT level.

If the bar's open was $378.00 and its close is $378.25, which of the following confirms a 'Cap' signal by a passive seller?

  1. The bar closes on its low with a Δ of +2500.
  2. The price fails to advance despite heavy Ask volume at the high, and the subsequent bar opens lower.
  3. The bar high has zero Bid volume and the COT is located in the middle of the wick.
  4. The diagonal ratio is maintained across the entire body of the bar.

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