medium · Order Flow Analysis order-book-dom

In ES, price is approaching the overnight low of $4,505.00. A large iceberg bid is detected: 600 contracts trade at the bid price of $4,505.00 while the visible bid quantity never exceeds $50.

How should an order flow trader react?

  1. Wait for the resting iceberg bid to be fully 'taken out' before entering in the direction of the eventual break.
  2. Enter short immediately, because 600 contracts of aggressive selling hitting the bid confirms strong bearish control.
  3. Ignore the level completely, since the small 'displayed' bid quantity is too thin to reflect real institutional size or intent.
  4. Enter long with a stop below $4,505.00, as an institution is using the overnight low to accumulate a large position.

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