medium · Order Flow Analysis tape-reading-time-sales

The 'Mathematics of Losing Streaks' predicts that a trader with a 48% win rate will experience a 10-loss streak approximately 1.4 times every 1,000 trades.

What is the primary risk management lesson from this statistical reality?

  1. Use the Kelly Criterion to double your risk sizing after each winning trade.
  2. Stop trading entirely after 3 consecutive losses in order to avoid the full streak.
  3. Risk no more than 1% per trade to ensure the account survives the inevitable drawdown.
  4. Increase your win rate to roughly 80% by only taking the highest-quality A-grade trade setups.

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