medium · Poker Theory Preflop

Game: 6-max NLHE | Format: Cash | Blinds/Antes: 1/2 no ante | Effective Stacks: 100 bb | Hero Position: UTG | Pot Size: 13.5 bb Hero 4-bets A5s. Villain shoves. If Hero folds, how much 'Realized Profit' did the 4-bet generate if Villain folded 70% of the time?

1. The expected value calculation must include both the fold branch and the fold-to-shove loss.
2. Profit is 13.5 bb because that's what Hero won when Villain folded.
3. Profit is zero because Hero folded.
4. Profit depends entirely on whether Hero would have won the hand post-flop. (under this line)

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