medium · Poker Theory Preflop

Game: No-Limit Hold'em | Format: Cash Game | Blinds/Antes: 1/2, no ante | Effective Stacks: 100 bb | Hero Position: BB | Pot Size: 6.5 bb | A CO opens to 2.5 and the BTN calls. You squeeze to 12.5 bb. Why does this play require a much higher fold frequency to be profitable than a heads-up 3-bet?

1. Squeezing is only allowed with premium hands like AA or KK.
2. The 'Sunk-Cost Fallacy' makes the original raiser more likely to call a squeeze.
3. The caller in the middle usually has a much stronger range than the initial raiser. (under this line) (under this line)
4. Because both players must fold for the squeeze to succeed, and their fold probabilities compound (f^2).

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