medium · Poker Theory River

Game: NLHE | Format: 6-Max Cash | Blinds/Antes: 1/2 No Ante | Effective Stacks: 100 bb | Hero Position: BTN | Pot Size: 11 bb Hero (PFR) checks back J♥ T♥ on A♠ 8diamond 2♣. The turn is the 4♣. If Hero's strategy shows a delayed c-bet EV of +2.4 bb against a population that probes 25% of turns, what is the primary source of this profit?

1. The EV is derived from the population's under-probing error, which leaves their turn checking range weak and over-folded.
2. The turn 4♣ is a 'Nut Card' for the Pre-flop raiser's checking range.
3. Hero's hand has 40% equity when called, which justifies the bet.
4. The population's high MDF on the turn forces Hero to bet for protection. (under this line) (under this line) (under this line)

Sign up free to see the explanation and track your rank →