hard · Poker Theory River

Game: NLHE | Format: Cash | Blinds/Antes: 1/2 | Effective Stacks: 100 bb | Hero Position: BB | Pot Size: 40 bb On the river, Villain bets 40 bb into a 40 bb pot (s = 1.0). Hero holds a pure bluff-catcher. Hero estimates Villain's bluffing frequency at 20%. According to the master profit equation and GTO principles, what is the EV of calling, and should Hero defend to MDF?

  1. EV = -4 bb; Hero should call due to pot odds
  2. EV = 0 bb; Hero is indifferent
  3. EV = -16 bb; Hero should fold despite MDF
  4. EV = +8 bb; Hero must call to prevent exploitation

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