medium · Poker Theory River

Game: NLHE | Format: Six-Max Cash | Blinds/Antes: 1/2 | Effective Stacks: 200 (100 bb) | Hero Position: BB | Pot Size:14 (7 bb) Hero identifies a 'LAG' opponent who checks back the flop but 'Folds to Turn Probe' 75% of the time. Hero decides to probe for 100% of Hero's range. What is the primary risk of this adjustment?

1. Hero will pay too much in rake, falling into the 'R-term Trap'.
2. Hero will suffer from a 'Results-Oriented Trap' if the opponent hits their 25% equity. (under this line) (under this line)
3. The adjustment is highly counter-exploitable if the opponent begins to check-raise or call with their entire range.
4. The 'Raw Equity' of Hero's air hands will collapse on the river.

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