hard · Quantitative Finance derivatives

A binary (cash-or-nothing) call option pays $100 if S_T > K at expiry.

As the option approaches expiry while the stock price is very close to the strike, which of the following best describes the behavior of its Delta?

  1. Delta remains constant at 0.50, representing the probability of exercise.
  2. Delta spikes toward infinity, making the option difficult to hedge.
  3. Delta converges to the Delta of a vanilla call option.
  4. Delta decays to zero as time value disappears.

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