medium · Quantitative Finance

A 2-year zero-coupon bond is currently trading at $0.94. If the short rate follows the Vasicek model, what does this price imply about the discount factor used in interest rate modeling?

  1. It represents the present value of $1 received in 2 years.
  2. It is the expected future short rate at time T=2.
  3. It suggests the yield curve is currently inverted.
  4. It is the risk-neutral probability of the rate staying positive.

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