hard · Quantitative Finance

Consider a portfolio of $100M with an expected daily return of 0.05% and a daily standard deviation of 1.2%. Assuming returns are normally distributed, calculate the 1-day 99% Expected Shortfall (ES_99%), given z_0.99 = 2.326 and φ(2.326) ≈ 0.0267.

  1. $2.74M
  2. $3.15M
  3. $3.25M
  4. $1.20M

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