hard · Quantitative Finance

A risk manager uses Value at Risk (VaR) at the 99% confidence level.

If the returns are normally distributed with mean 0 and standard deviation σ, what is the relationship between VaR and Expected Shortfall (ES)?

  1. ES is always smaller than VaR.
  2. The ratio of ES to VaR depends only on the mean of the distribution.
  3. ES and VaR are equal if the distribution is symmetric.
  4. ES is approximately 1.15 times larger than VaR at high confidence levels for normal distributions.

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