medium · Quantitative Finance

Using a one-period binomial model, a stock currently at 100 will either move to 120 or 90.

If the risk-free growth factor is e^rT = 1.02, what is the risk-neutral probability p^* of an upward move?

  1. 0.50
  2. 0.60
  3. 0.33
  4. 0.40

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