hard · Quantitative Finance prob-stats

A GARCH(1,1) process has parameters ω = 0.000002, α = 0.04, and β = 0.94.

If the current volatility is 20% annualized (assume 252 days), is the process currently above or below its long-run volatility?

  1. Below
  2. Above
  3. Cannot be determined
  4. Exactly at the long-run level

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