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Historian Marcus Thorne argued that the medieval trade fairs held in the Champagne region were the primary drivers of urban population growth during the thirteenth century. Thorne posits that the economic activity generated by these international gatherings created a permanent demand for labor that expanded nearby cities.

Which finding, if true, would most directly weaken Thorne's argument?

  1. The majority of merchants attending the Champagne fairs were transient visitors who did not establish permanent residences in the nearby cities.
  2. Cities in regions without major trade fairs grew at significantly higher rates during the thirteenth century than cities adjacent to the Champagne fairs.
  3. Immigration records indicate that large numbers of laborers relocated to cities near the fairs in the years immediately after each fair was established.
  4. Records from the Champagne fairs show that the volume of silk and spices traded reached an all-time high between 1250 and 1270.

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