medium · Volume Price Analysis climactic

A trader sees three candidate 'selling climax' bars over four weeks of a decline, each a wide down bar on rising volume. The first has the widest spread and highest volume but closes on its low; the second is narrower on slightly lower volume closing mid-range; the third is the narrowest on the LOWEST volume of the three, closing near its high.

In Coulling's exhaustion logic, which sequence best signals that the trend's selling pressure is genuinely drying up?

  1. The first bar alone, because the absolute peak recorded in both volume and spread is, by strict Coulling definition, always the singular moment of true capitulation and total exhaustion
  2. The progression itself — declining volume and narrowing spreads with improving closes across the three bars — because diminishing effort to push price lower is the true sign supply is exhausting
  3. The second bar, because a mid-range close occurring on still-elevated volume is regarded as the textbook single signature that, all by itself, fully completes a genuine selling climax event here
  4. The third bar taken in isolation, since only the highest closing price of the three bars ultimately matters, and the two earlier bars become entirely irrelevant the moment a higher close finally appears

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