hard · Volume Price Analysis climactic

Two stocks each stage a sharp multi-week decline. Stock A's final down candle has ultra-high volume, a wide spread, and closes at its low with no wick. Stock B's final down candle also has ultra-high volume and a wide spread, but closes with a lower wick covering most of the range.

Which stock more likely marks a genuine low, and why?

  1. Stock A, because a close on the low under record volume shows sellers are fully in control at the extreme.
  2. Stock B, because the large lower wick under record volume shows buying absorbed the decline before the close.
  3. Both equally, since ultra-high volume alone is sufficient evidence of a climax regardless of where the candle closes.
  4. Neither, since a genuine low requires several closes above the opening price before any conclusion can be drawn.

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