medium · Volume Price Analysis

A stock that has been in a sustained markup phase suddenly produces a wide-spread bullish candle that breaks above a major resistance level. However, the volume bar for this candle is significantly below the 20-period average.

How should a VPA practitioner interpret this price action?

  1. It is a market-maker trap designed to lure breakout buyers before reversing back into the range.
  2. It is a short squeeze which requires no volume to maintain upward momentum.
  3. It is a validated breakout signaling further trend extension due to lack of selling pressure.
  4. It is a successful test of demand that confirms the insiders have cleared all supply.

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