medium · Volume Price Analysis

A currency pair has fallen into a buying climax. After a sideways accumulation period, the insiders execute a 'spring' move that dips below the floor. The spring bar is a hammer with a deep lower wick on volume significantly lower than the preceding decline.

What does this indicate for the subsequent test?

  1. The low volume indicates that the insiders have withdrawn and the bearish markdown will continue.
  2. The spring is a market-maker trap designed to lure buyers into a false breakout to the upside.
  3. The spring is a failed test because it did not generate high volume to validate the hammer's strength.
  4. The spring itself serves as a successful test of supply, confirming sellers have been shaken out.

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