medium · Volume Price Analysis

A currency pair has been in a distribution phase for two weeks. Today, a candle rises back into the ceiling of the distribution zone, prints a shooting star with a very long upper wick, and volume is 0.35× the 20-bar average.

What is the most likely outcome?

  1. A failed test of supply, meaning more accumulation is still required
  2. The markdown phase is likely starting soon as the test of demand was successful.
  3. The insiders are likely stop-hunting the wick; wait for a second, higher-volume test
  4. A bullish breakout is likely here, since the low volume shows a clear lack of genuine selling

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