medium · Volume Price Analysis

A trader sees a breakout candle above resistance with a wide spread and high volume. Two candles later, an Upthrust appears on even higher volume.

What is the most likely scenario for the initial breakout?

  1. The market is experiencing high volatility but remains in a bullish markup phase.
  2. The initial breakout was the start of a strong trend and the Upthrust is just a minor pullback.
  3. The initial breakout was a 'trap up' designed to bring in momentum buyers before the insiders fully distributed.
  4. The insiders are 'testing the breakout' to ensure no sellers remain in the market.

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