hard · Volume Price Analysis

On a daily chart a market shows three consecutive up-bars: bar 1 wide with rising volume, bar 2 wide with even higher volume, bar 3 wide-spread up but closing well off its high on volume HIGHER than both prior bars. Coulling would weigh this against the 'background.'

Which interpretation best integrates spread, volume, and close across the three bars?

  1. Bars 1-2 are demand confirming the move, but bar 3's higher volume with a poor (off-the-high) close is supply meeting demand — a topping-out warning where increased effort failed to produce a proportionate up-result
  2. All three bars are strong demand because volume rose each session, so the rising-volume sequence confirms an accelerating, healthy uptrend with no caution warranted
  3. Bar 3 is the strongest of all because it carries the highest volume, so the off-the-high close is irrelevant and a larger up-bar should be expected next
  4. Bar 3 is a no-demand bar because its close is weak, signalling the buyers have simply vanished on low participation and the trend will quietly stall

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