medium · Volume Price Analysis testing

A 'No Supply' bar appears on a daily chart after a two-week decline. The next day, the price breaks above the previous day's high on volume 1.5× the average.

What is the logical trade entry and stop placement?

  1. Enter short; the high volume on the following day suggests a failed test.
  2. Enter long on the breakout; stop below the low of the 'No Supply' bar.
  3. Enter long; stop at the breakout price to minimize risk.
  4. Wait for a second 'No Supply' bar to confirm the first before entering.

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