hard · Volume Price Analysis Validation vs. Anomaly (Spread & Volume)
A stock breaks above a multi-month resistance level with a wide-spread candle on volume 2.6x average, closing at its high. The next day's volume drops to 0.7x average, yet the spread stays wide and the close is even higher.
How should the second day be read relative to the breakout?
- It reinforces validation, since a wide spread on any volume level after a breakout still confirms strength.
- It signals an anomaly, since the sharp volume drop after a breakout always exposes the move as unsupported.
- It is a caution sign, since the wide spread on far lighter volume implies thinning participation now.
- It is irrelevant, since only the breakout day's own volume matters for validating the level change.
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