medium · Volume Price Analysis wyckoff-laws
Why do markets typically fall faster than they rise, and how is this reflected in the VPA markdown phase?
- Gravity makes falling far easier than rising; therefore, the markdown phase typically requires less trading volume to move prices than the markup phase.
- Insiders have empty warehouses after distribution and want to refill at the lowest prices quickly; this creates wide-spread down candles with rising volume (Panic).
- Fear is widely regarded as a much weaker emotion than greed; thus buyers tend to hold longer in a downtrend than in an uptrend, which shrinks candle spreads.
- Markdown is actually slower because insiders must patiently sell off their remaining inventory over time; it is the markup phase that is rapid, driven mainly by FOMO buying.
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