medium · Volume Profile Analysis auction-market-theory

A Treasury Note futures contract produces a selling spike in the final 30 minutes, dropping from 110.15 to a close of 110.02. The spike base is at 110.15. The next session opens at 110.08.

How should a professional desk interpret this opening location?

  1. The auction is in a state of 'Acceptance' at the lower price levels.
  2. The spike was a liquidity sweep and has been fully rejected by the open.
  3. The market is testing the spike for acceptance, representing an unresolved auction.
  4. The market is gapping lower, indicating extreme bearish conviction.

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