easy · Volume Profile Analysis auction-market-theory

At 10:30 ET, the cumulative volume for the E-mini S&P 500 is 450,000 contracts. The 20-session average for this specific time is 300,000 contracts.

What is the Relative Volume (RVOL) and its implication?

  1. RVOL = 150; this volume shock signals exhaustion and the session should be avoided due to elevated tail risk.
  2. RVOL = 1.5; the elevated volume implies a completed auction, so the day is likely to be a non-trend session.
  3. RVOL = 1.5; institutional participation is elevated, increasing the probability of directional follow-through.
  4. RVOL = 0.67; below-average participation suggests the market will stay locked in a narrow rotation.

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