hard · Volume Profile Analysis

A trader is monitoring a bullish trend in the DAX with higher highs and higher lows. The price breaks a prior swing high at 18,250 but immediately reverses and closes at 18,245 on high volume. This is the third test of 18,250.

How should the trader interpret this?

  1. A Change of Character (CHoCH); the bullish trend is now officially reversed.
  2. Sideways accumulation; the market is building pressure for a fourth, successful test.
  3. A liquidity grab; the break was used to trigger buy-stops to provide exit liquidity for large sellers.
  4. A genuine break of structure (BOS); the retest of 18,245 is an entry opportunity.

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